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Re: None

Friday, 02/09/2024 11:00:03 AM

Friday, February 09, 2024 11:00:03 AM

Post# of 81598
Two months later, and nothing has changed.

The Transfer Agent still hasn't been informed about the share structure change, voted on last May, and filed with the SOS at Sunbiz.com in June. Why? I think because it longer serves the purpose of generating new capital, and satisfying old debt.

I believe they intended to satisfy the ~$3 million in debt with preferred shares at a dollar per share (liquidation preference of a dollar a share, plus conversion to common at 66.66 common shares per share). The collapse of the share price under a penny makes the deal less appealing to debt holders. The limited wash trading we saw in January really hasn't changed things. I think we're headed back under a penny without real positive news.

So what now? I see 5 possibilities:

1) Status Quo. Wallach continues to pay the minimal accounts payable as they come due, increasing his debt holding, while external debt holders (Khoury and Fleisig) hold off on demanding payment. I figure this could go on through the end of March, when they file the 2023 10K.
2) Reverse split. Maybe another 10 or 15 to one. That gets the share price up temporarily, making the convertible preferred more attractive (assuming the 66.66 to 1 conversion rate still holds after the Reverse split).
3) Chapter 11 reorganization with a DIP lender (probably Wallach) getting the bulk of the new equity.
4) Chapter 7 liquidation. Not really likely, as no one gets paid (really quite scant tangible assets left to liquidate - debt holders will not get full repayment, and common shares wiped out).
5) Sold to another company? I doubt this. There's nothing really to buy, but a warehouse full of mirrors no one wants, and some plastic molds for the cutting board that will never be built (my opinion, but backed by consumer action).

So, what's it going to be? Maybe we'll know in another 2 months.
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