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Re: 2018trader post# 380432

Tuesday, 01/30/2024 9:06:36 PM

Tuesday, January 30, 2024 9:06:36 PM

Post# of 383772
Well it depends on when the pivot happens (to easing), and if/how much of an economic slow down occurs. Don't forget, the Fed already indicated a pivot in Dec. and rates cuts coming in 2024......market rallied 10-15%+ in Nov/Dec.

Very fluid situation and hard to calibrate with high confidence. 10 year Bond yields crashing to sub- 3.75% would indicate a problem; 4 to 4.5% would indicate things are more stable in the economy.
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