Saturday, December 02, 2023 12:09:20 AM
" I think Trump is far, far more likely to accomplish recap/release if he wins than any other presidential candidate. However, in late 2025 Fannie will have enough net worth that (with the seniors gone) they could be released from conservatorship (with core capital equal to 2.5% of balance sheet assets) without having to raise outside capital. That means Treasury could convert its seniors into commons and capture as much equity as they want and wouldn't have to be worried about being diluted by a later capital raise. Freddie would hit that point in 2028. Both of those would be during the next presidential administration."
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