Fannie Mae-No Politics (FNMA)

[DaJester]

"That's like saying that since the last hurricane barely missed you, future ones are less likely to happen. It makes no sense to me."

As opposed to your thinking: The last one almost hit me, so the next one will for sure hit me, or I calculate has a 75% chance hit me.

The truth: The next one is no more nor less likely to hit you that it was the first time.