Sunday, April 23, 2023 9:38:28 AM
I have been tracking legal and admin steps that are tracking the path to end the conservatorships since 2014. So far the legal paths have not produced a meaningful outcome. I believe the implication is that the spspa — if materially unchallenged — will convert to common in this restructuring. This is backed by the annual government budget reports and the government cbo report
You believe that — based on your share valuations as far as i can tell
1. Warrants cancelled
2. Spspa unwould
3. Companies given back stolen money
Whereas i think the opposite of those three things is more of the outcome to anticipate.
You get valuations of over $300 on commons. I get worst case scenarios of $0.01 on the commons.
Agree to disagree, but my view is that there really isnt a material reason for the people in charge to facilitate your outcome whereas my outcome or close to it maximizes their position for their purposes more or less
The part i am unclear on is it sounds like there is a difference between spspa and warrants in terms of spendability. They can spend the warrants and not the spspa? That may help you not get completey wiped out. But not a gamble i would recommend
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