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Re: Mt. Blanc post# 469

Friday, 03/03/2023 12:30:05 PM

Friday, March 03, 2023 12:30:05 PM

Post# of 513
Yes, lots of speculation and gambling going on now. If we consider that the Fed may continue to raise interest rates through mid-summer and that it appears student loan forgiveness is dead in the water and student loan payments are scheduled to begin again this September, it may be a few years before home prices stop falling. According to the St. Louis Fed home prices just leveled off in Q4 '22. It's going to be a long year for OPEN. We'll have to reassess at the end of the year. That is, if they've survived. Given their recent foray into multi-million dollar homes, I'm not so sure they can make it. For example, they have a home in San Diego listed for $28MM and another one listed for $23MM. What were they thinking moving into this high end market?

“It is remarkable how much long term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.” – Charlie Munger

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