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Friday, November 25, 2022 7:21:06 AM
Love the summary of Seekingalpha's article below:
The Bottom Line
In sum, Tellurian's market cap prices very little hope for Driftwood becoming a reality.
And in a moment of honesty, Souki admits that he was overconfident (5:36) about Driftwood. There was hope. The fundamentals look very compelling. But now we are facing reality. And Driftwood remains a pipe dream. A dream where investors can lose everything. Or where the upside could be significantly higher.
Also, look at the dilution expectation from Souki & T@LL. They are preparing for a dilution rate of 4x!!! T@LL has already been diluted to heck, and still can't raise the $13B needed to build their project... Just insane. TGLO has ALL their preferred shares ready if needed to raise capital, plus Delfin can easily convert some of their 71% ownership stake to equity as raise. Factor in the fact TGLO should easily hit multiple $$'s prior to FID or shortly thereafter, Delfin won't need to raise much capital.
Souki asserts that of the approximately $12 to $13 billion that it costs to get Driftwood up and running, 35% would come in the form of equity. So, that would be approximately $4 billion. Or put another way, shareholders would see a dilution of 4x.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4560458-tellurian-pipe-dream?mailingid=29802331&messageid=2800&serial=29802331.8871&source=email_2800&utm_campaign=rta-stock-article&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=29802331.8871
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