Hi Rook,
I am really honoured that you have sought out my help.
I only went back to 2003 and considered inflation factors for the four year period (3.24%, 3.39%, 2.68%, 2.27%). Again, I felt the resulting data gave me no information that would be of any use in assissting in trade decisions. So, even though you bould like someone to help and to teach you in this regards, I would suggest that particularly in regards to AMEP you look at other tools.
You may wish to look at the time tested method of coin-flipping. Please follow the steps below.
1) get a coin. If you live in Canada, a loonie or toonie is best as each of these is larger and easier to read. (Just for your idification, if you live in the US, DO NOT substitute a dollar bill for a toonie. It can work, but the time it take the bill to land takes too long and the stock might already have gone up or down and then you would just have to flip the bill again. Thus you would end up in a never-ending cycle.
At the end of the cycle, you would then have to do a fournier analysis, and that is what you are trying to avoid in the first place.
2) make sure the coin has two different sides.
3) decide what the meaning of each side will be. For example, you could decide that if heads lands up, you will buy and if tails lands up, you will sell. The absolute beauty of this system is that you can choose any parameters.
4) flip the coin. You can use any flipping method you want. (By "flipping", I don't mean the disrespectful "flipping" as in "you're a flipping idiot." Also, I am not calling you a flipping idiot, as you obviously aren't, otherwise you wouldn't want to be improving yourself by furthering your math skills.)
5) watch the coin flip - it should have one complete rotation. If it doesn't rotate completely, that is okay as it doesn't really affect the results, but you can flip again if it makes you feel better.
6) catch the coin or let it fall to the ground or any other surface.
7) if you catch it, the acceptable method is to turn it over onto the back of your hand - other body parts will work just as well. Recently, some individuals have experimented with not giving the coin the final flip, but the results have not been impressive, so use this at your own peril.
8) look at the coin and apply decision in step 3.
Now, here is the real beauty of the system. If you don't like the results on your first flip, you can apply the rule of "best of three" or even "best of five" etc. But, I am going a bit far as that is reserved for the more advanced course. Unfortunately, I cannot just "give away" that information for free. Can you imagine if 100,000 people used this method on AMEP (or any other stock for that matter). The market would be flooded with orders. So, for a mere $4995, you can sign up for more advanced trading systems based on simple mathematical principles.
Good luck in your trading Rook.
