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Tuesday, October 25, 2022 12:56:17 PM
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | October 25, 2022
• The latest stock pick from Playbook of the Week is a bullish play on NVDA
• Nvidia stock reclaimed a key area on the charts last week
The below is an excerpt from this yesterday's episode of Schaeffer's Playbook of the Week, featuring Schaeffer's Senior Market Strategist Matthew Timpane, CFA. Below, Matthew makes a bullish case for NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA).
There’s plenty of semiconductor stocks I’m not a fan of, but if you want to take a shot on something beaten down, look for the leader, and Nvidia is that. The stock breaking out of a downtrend pushing above its 20-day moving average, and recently found support at the -50% year-over-year level.
The 120-strike is peak put open interest, and we pushed above that level last week, so that could be support. Semiconductors are also about to enter a historically bullish month of November, the most bullish month of the year. Nvidia has positive results 58.3% of the time through expiration.
Puts have been growing in popularity over the last 10 weeks. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), the equity's 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.03 ranks four percentage points from an annual high.
What's more, Nvidia's stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) ranks at 97 out of 100. This means the equity has exceeded option traders' volatility expectations during the last year.
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