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Saturday, 10/08/2022 12:42:15 PM

Saturday, October 08, 2022 12:42:15 PM

Post# of 37920
The $31 Trillion Dollar Question – Can The Fed Afford To Pivot?
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/31-trillion-dollar-question-can-fed-afford-pivot

My Comment: It's going to get ugly. Got Gold?

Excerpt:
In the short to medium term, however, the pain for much of the world will be intense, including the US. Much of the deflation in certain sectors of the US economy from the Fed’s intense interest rate policy should be offset by capital inflow from those who have lived beyond their means because of the weak dollar in the past.

The prime beneficiaries of this have been Europe and their overly generous entitlement/pension systems, which are teetering on full collapse as we saw in the UK recently, and China with its massive trade surplus with the US.

The winners will be those who produce and export base commodities. Because in broad strokes, assets inflated through easy credit for over a decade, like gov’t bonds, stocks, real estate and mid-to-high end consumer goods, will be deflating. On the flip side, base commodity prices, the main driver of inflation today, will continue rising – oil, gas, gold, metals, food, etc.

In short, the easy money of the post-2008 era fueled stock, bond and real estate booms which will now bust, suppressing investment into base commodities. With the credit cycle reversing so too will this dynamic.

My advice to people is the same as it’s been for years. Get and stay out of debt, minimize expenses where you can, and develop strong local communities to assist each other while the geopolitical tensions continue to rise.

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