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Friday, August 12, 2022 9:27:12 AM
1- UBQU's interest payments are equal almost to the dilution. in this case, we never get out of this cycle
2- The converters are dumping at this point to perpetuate the debt cycle and UBQU has no control, therefore, they have to take other alternatives. no longer a fan of them going to a bank for it, those who have a goal of ubqu = 0 do not want that to happen, but as we are seeing, there are other ways to skin a cat now than offer more UBQU shares. I'm liking the future possibility of a CZAL unit.
3- the folks piling into the bid are humans. they have a more positive sentiment. if they were to buy and hold, it wouldn't matter what the float is, the next fomo event would force the sellers to think if they wanted to expend their shares at so low to continue the psychological play. i give this possibility at this time nearly nil probability
4- monies are being spent to increase markets through various marketing. the rakuten ad gave us evidence of one thing, big money took notice of it, where they cared less about all the facebook stuff. in 6 to 12 months, we could see viral amounts of money come into UBQU's coffers
5- regardless of at least two new officers at UBQU, they are continuing to dilute foolishly while in their control, and not using that money to pay the debt, they lose confidence from retail, and this possibly could cause retail to capitulate and this goes to a hard nobid. of course, that depends how much of the now supposed 28B float is owned by retail. if it's 10B or more, then yes, ballas would be loathe to get a hard nobid....of course, if it is small, and this stock is not overshorted to have squeeze potential, he could easily sell the company for even 10M at this point to an investor and not need retail to buy. also if retail has capitulated and left, it's possible that UBQU and converters are shorting to institutions, so the cycle perpetuates and we are left to twist in the wind 1/2 indefinitely.
Pay the debt, remove the converters, once that happens, and they are cash flow positive, then Ballas should lose his investor support if he continues to dilute.
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