Thursday, August 11, 2022 11:01:05 AM
I meant that Treasury would owe FnF $69B, not the other way around. That decreases by the $18.7B per year that FnF are not paying Treasury ever since the September 2019 letter agreement, because without the NWS (and holding everything else equal) FnF would be paying $18.7B per year right now to Treasury but would have $69B more net worth to pay it from.
This does mean that if the unwind somehow happens 4 or more years from now, FnF will actually owe Treasury cash to make up for all the years of not paying them anything because $18.7B * 4 > $69B. I certainly hope it doesn't take that long.
Almost certainly yes. But I don't think those things can be quantified.
Even after this hypothetical NWS unwind, FnF wouldn't have enough core capital to meet the base no-buffers leverage capital requirement Thompson set out, so they would still be in conservatorship.
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