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Friday, June 17, 2022 2:26:59 PM
By: TheStreet | June 17, 2022
• AMD and Nvidia have been swallowed up in the bear market, with each stock declining at least 50%. Here's how to trade them now.
I am a firm believer in buying quality businesses when they go on sale. While emotions run high during bear markets and stock market corrections, that’s often the best time for long-term investors to start shopping.
If you’re an experienced trader or market speculator, then it may be best to trade with the trend. At this moment, that trend is lower. If traders don’t like shorting, they may very well wait for better trading conditions by waiting for a new uptrend to form.
Since trying to time the market is not a good idea, investors might consider a dollar-cost-average approach or another way to buy good companies at good prices.
I consider two such companies to be Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Nvidia (NVDA).
The two have both reported solid earnings results and both companies are forecast to continue driving earnings and revenue higher. That goes for this year as well as the out-years.
Economic contraction or not, these companies just aren’t feeling the pinch — at least not yet. Yet the two stocks have been cut in half from the all-time highs made in the fourth quarter.
These are moments to begin accumulating. For more precise technical analysis, let’s look at the charts.
Trading AMD Stock
Weekly chart of AMD stock.
Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com
AMD stock has held up marginally better than Nvidia has, which I don’t think many investors expected. In any regard, it recently broke the key $84 to $86 zone.
This area has been significant over the past two years and it’s also the 61.8% retracement from the all-time high to the covid-19 low in March 2020. Lastly, it’s around where AMD found support earlier this year.
Now breaking below this level, the stock is vulnerable.
If the stock flushes lower, the $73.85 to $75 zone is the first downside target. The second target is $64 to $66, where AMD stock finds the 78.6% retracement, 200-week moving average and the monthly VWAP measure.
However, the key to watch now is $84. If AMD stock can bounce before a significant pullback and reclaim this level, then we could be looking at an upside reversal.
In that scenario, a move back above $85.50 puts $92 back in play, then the 10-week moving average and the $100 to $104.55 level — the latter of which is last month’s high.
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Information posted to this board is not meant to suggest any specific action, but to point out the technical signs that can help our readers make their own specific decisions. Caveat emptor!
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