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Re: DewDiligence post# 241673

Saturday, 06/04/2022 6:13:14 PM

Saturday, June 04, 2022 6:13:14 PM

Post# of 252361
GILD details why the purportedly-positive Trodelvy data from Mar 2022 weren’t:

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220603005437/en

The study met its primary endpoint of progression-free survival (PFS) with a statistically significant and clinically meaningful 34% reduction in the risk of disease progression or death (median PFS 5.5 vs. 4 months; HR: 0.66; 95% CI: 0.53-0.83; P<0.0003). The first interim analysis of the key secondary endpoint of overall survival (OS) demonstrated a trend in improvement.

In this context, a “trend in improvement” means non-statsig. OS could conceivably turn statsig in a later data cut, but that’s pretty unlikely.

The viewpoint in #msg-158260565 (from 2020) has not changed.

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

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