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Re: SeaBlue post# 16939

Thursday, 05/12/2022 5:08:38 PM

Thursday, May 12, 2022 5:08:38 PM

Post# of 19215
The only way what he says will happen is if the Fed reverses course with rates in the next couple months, so why would they do that, when they've only just begun to raise rates and have yet to do any QT?

Hunter never gives his reason/s for why he expects it to happen, but it could only happen for a few reasons: 1) market crash 2) bank defaults 3) black swan event 4) something they fabricate themselves to save face.

I suppose even if the stock market keeps falling they'll have to stop and start with the QE and printing again. I myself don't see them being able to even take rates much higher than 2% before something breaks, so I'm in agreement to some degree with Hunter on his theory. That could be what cause them to have to reverse course. Rates over 2% will bring the House of Cards down.

Their big problem is if they have to reverse course on rates just a few months after they begin they lose credibility in a very big way and it should be very clear to everyone watching they've lost total control and the only thing they can do is lower rates and begin QE again to save the world economy. IMO some sort of event causing them to reverse interest rates may be a deflationary event that bring some of this inflation down. That may be what they WANT to happen, as that would get them off that hook temporaily.