Defense and Homeland Security Sector Ideas

[gfp927z]

Looks like the Russian strategy has been to take control of the eastern Donbass region, and extend that westward on the coast to form a land corridor from Russia to the Crimea (which is where the Russian Navy operates from). The next step will be to move further west on the coast to take control of the port of Odesa, which is where Ukrainian grain shipments leave Ukraine. Since Russia and Ukraine together supply 25% of the world's grain, the Russians can halt a huge chunk of the world's grain supply. Taking Odesa will give Russia complete control over Ukraine's entire Black Sea coastline, leaving them landlocked.

Meanwhile further north the idea is to take Kharkiv and then move south from there to link up with the southern coastal areas already under control. This consolidates Russia's control of all of the eastern and southern Ukraine, and then the offensive can expand westward toward Kiev. This is when a 3 prong assault on Kiev can occur, from the east, southeast, and north (from Belarus), so an overwhelming 3 prong pincer attack on Kiev.

It sounds like the early attacks on Kiev, which 'failed', were either a diversion, or else an attempt to take the capital quickly and decapitate the regime.