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K-G

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Alias Born 10/25/2006

K-G

Re: None

Tuesday, 02/06/2007 4:00:40 PM

Tuesday, February 06, 2007 4:00:40 PM

Post# of 49063
Of course a longer term prediction of stock price performance must take a lot more into account than just looking at the possible outcome of binary events. This means assessing the value of potential revenue streams, the quality of the managers and staff, the potential for growth and expansion, the current value of assests and the change in thier value with time, the impact of competition, costs of growth, and much more. But for small companies like Cortex, just looking at the outcome of likely to occur events over a relatively short period of time may not be too bad of a way to do a risk/reward assessment. After all, it is the outcome of these events that makes the stock jump in ways that create the allure and repulsion of small biotech investing.
Thanks for letting me get in my 2 cents.
Karl
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