Friday, March 18, 2022 11:50:54 AM
Yahoo Finance
by Brian Sozzi
March 17, 2022
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/heres-what-warren-buffetts-favorite-stock-market-indicator-is-saying-now-174656238.html
Stocks have endured a terrible start to the year as investors fret about soaring inflation and the Russia-Ukraine war — but the pullback still doesn't look like a great buying opportunity per a tried and true measure used by legendary investor Warren Buffett.
The “Buffett Indicator” as it’s called by legions of devotees — which takes the Wilshire 5000 Index (viewed as the total stock market) and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP — is still hovering around a record high even as stock prices are well off their record levels.
In looking at the numbers, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 168.1% — down sharply from highs above 202% in August 2021, per data from GuruFocus.
“The stock market is significantly overvalued according to the Buffett Indicator,” said researchers at GuruFocus. “Based on the historical ratio of total market cap over GDP (currently at 168.1%), it is likely to return 0% a year from this level of valuation, including dividends.”
The Buffett Indicator rose to fame after a 2001 Fortune Magazine article written by Buffett and long-time Fortune writer and Buffett insider Carol Loomis.
“The ratio has certain limitations in telling you what you need to know. Still, it is probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment,” explained Buffett in the article.
Seeing the Buffett Indicator still in significantly overvalued territory is interesting for a few reasons.
First, stocks have been walloped in 2022.
The S&P 500 entered Thursday's session down 10.6% for the year. That is the sixth worst start to a year for the S&P 500 ever, says strategists at LPL Financial. Further, household names such as Meta (down 39%) and Netflix (down 40%) have been pummeled.
And secondarily, Buffett himself is out there buying shares during this potential period of overvaluation.
The billionaire investor has been adding to his stake in oil giant Occidental Petroleum this month ahead of a key analyst day next week. Buffett just scooped up 18.1 million additional shares of Occidental, giving him a 14.6% stake in the company.
Shares of Occidental are up 98% year-to-date in part fueled by Buffett's involvement.
<<<
Recent BRK.B News
- Nike Shares Surge 7% Pre-Market as Elliott Hill Becomes CEO; FedEx Shares Tumble 13% After Profit Miss • IH Market News • 09/20/2024 10:02:58 AM
- Microsoft Boosts Share Buyback, Raises Dividends by 10%, Intel Secures Chip Deal with Amazon • IH Market News • 09/17/2024 10:40:35 AM
- Intel Secures $3.5 Billion Subsidy, Stellantis Backs EU Emissions Targets, BP and Apollo Reach $1 Billion Deal • IH Market News • 09/16/2024 10:03:27 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/14/2024 12:02:17 AM
- OpenAI Unveils Strawberry AI Model Series; Boeing Stock Falls 4% Amid Strike; HR Surges 20% on Growth Forecast • IH Market News • 09/13/2024 10:12:55 AM
- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 09/12/2024 01:26:55 AM
- GameStop plunges 11% on stock offering, DJT drops post-debate, GSK fails shingles vaccine trial • IH Market News • 09/11/2024 10:25:41 AM
- Broadcom Down 10% Post-Earnings, UiPath Up 8%; Qualcomm Eyes Intel Assets; Salesforce Acquires Own Company • IH Market News • 09/06/2024 11:59:00 AM
- Nvidia Subpoenaed by DOJ, Athira Pharma Shares Plunge 71% After Study Fails, Zscaler Falls 15% Post-Earnings • IH Market News • 09/04/2024 09:50:25 AM
- Intuitive Machines Soars 18% on NASA Contract, Intel Considers Splitting Operations, Dell Reassesses Selling SecureWorks • IH Market News • 08/30/2024 10:00:08 AM
- High Volatility Expected in Nvidia Report, Ambarella Soars 20%, Hertz Strengthens Board, Apple Cuts Jobs • IH Market News • 08/28/2024 09:50:36 AM
- Berkshire Reduces Stake in BofA, Hawaiian Airlines Soars 10%, Paramount Receives $4.3B Offer, and More • IH Market News • 08/20/2024 09:56:02 AM
- Deutsche Bank Faces Shareholder Backlash, Bank of America Sponsors 2026 World Cup, Quanterix CEO Buys More Shares • IH Market News • 08/16/2024 10:03:21 AM
- Google Mandated to Modify Play Store, Apple Innovates, Victoria’s Secret Hires CEO, Mars Buys Kellanova • IH Market News • 08/15/2024 10:05:46 AM
- Google Forced to Modify Play Store, Apple Innovates, Victoria’s Secret Hires CEO, Mars Buys Kellanova • IH Market News • 08/15/2024 10:05:46 AM
- Form 13F-HR - Quarterly report filed by institutional managers, Holdings • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/14/2024 08:05:02 PM
- UBS Beats Earnings Forecasts, Intel Divests Arm Holdings, Flutter Surges 9% in Premarket Trading, and More • IH Market News • 08/14/2024 09:56:35 AM
- Dell Stock Slide Offers Opportunities; Trump and Musk hold talks on X; GM Restructures China Operations, and More • IH Market News • 08/13/2024 09:43:49 AM
- Intel Sued by Shareholders; JPMorgan Raises Chance of Recession; Roblox Blocked in Turkey; Micron Resumes Share Buyback • IH Market News • 08/08/2024 09:48:43 AM
- Form 8-K - Current report • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/05/2024 06:44:32 PM
- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 08/05/2024 10:05:01 AM
- Nvidia AI Chip Delays, Mars Eyes Kellanova Acquisition, Berkshire Hathaway’s Cash Surge to $277 Billion • IH Market News • 08/05/2024 09:43:55 AM
- AMD Shares Surge 9% on Earnings Beat; Match Group Rises 10%, Pinterest & Lemonade Drop 13%, and More Earnings Updates • IH Market News • 07/31/2024 09:59:10 AM
- Johnson Controls Division Sold for $8 Billion; Alphabet’s Offer Rejected by Wiz; AMD President Announces Retirement • IH Market News • 07/23/2024 10:00:52 AM
- Microsoft and Apple Exit OpenAI Board, TSMC Exceeds Forecasts with Record Revenue, and Other Key Updates • IH Market News • 07/10/2024 10:42:17 AM
Lingerie Fighting Championships Signs Broadcast Deal With Maybacks Global Entertainment • BOTY • Sep 26, 2024 9:00 AM
Maybacks Global Entertainment and Lingerie Fighting Championships Enter Into Broadcast And Revenue Sharing Agreement • AHRO • Sep 26, 2024 8:30 AM
North Bay Resources Commences Operations at Bishop Gold Mill, Inyo County, California; Engages Sabean Group Management Consulting • NBRI • Sep 25, 2024 9:15 AM
CEO David B. Dorwart Anticipates a Bright Future at Good Gaming Inc. Through His Most Recent Shareholder Update • GMER • Sep 25, 2024 8:30 AM
Cannabix Technologies and Omega Laboratories Inc. Advance Marijuana Breathalyzer Technology - Dr. Bruce Goldberger to Present at Society of Forensic Toxicologists Conference • BLOZF • Sep 24, 2024 8:50 AM
Integrated Ventures, Inc Announces Strategic Partnership For GLP-1 (Semaglutide) Procurement Through MedWell USA, LLC. • INTV • Sep 24, 2024 8:45 AM