SPDR S&P 500 (SPY): Interesting. 2018 didn't have out-of...

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Re: TrendTrade2016 post# 351903

Monday, 01/31/2022 4:47:44 PM

Monday, January 31, 2022 4:47:44 PM

Interesting. 2018 didn't have out-of-control inflation or a federal govt that was hostile to the oil industry.(so prolonged $100+ oil was averted.)

My worst-case view is an initial fall to the middle 50 band on the MONTHLY, then a multi-month rally, followed by a continued downtrend. Think 2001-2003.. though on a much grander, 2008-like scale. (See Japan stagflation era)

That said, I am being VERY CAUTIOUS and not rushing into anything. I called the 2000 and 2008 crashes almost perfectly (didn't have the funds back then to do anything!), but I also thought the market was done in late 2019 & was wrong.

We shall see & all IMO only.

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