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Thursday, November 25, 2021 3:16:28 PM
From what I'm seeing the big money going into lithium right now is not worried one bit about any "disruptive technology" and big money will be what controls the general usage, views, and trends. Just like big oil with our dependency, wants, and need for it. The power the oil industry has over governments, consumer, and other industry controls the market. There's been many instances over decades of big oil just shelving tech and patents, tech and processes that were better ways of going at it, more economical for the consumer, better environmentally, it just interfered with what they already had in place, their profits. Tire industry, another example, "disruptive tech" has been out there a generation ago to only buy one set of tires for a lifetime, but that's against big money, and that doesn't go away with the new EV's (neither does oil in the making of rubber). The current environment and public opinion is being more disruptive to them now, and they can't hold it back any more, but we still are going to have a very large dependency on big oil for decades to come (along with more money per unit covering for less units produced).
Even if a new "disruptive tech" battery arrives (and there is many working on it including China and the well established names for decades), it will take years to actually just start to "disrupt" and decades to finish disruption. This company or any company making some small little batteries, no matter how great the tech is, in a relatively small factory is not going to have any effects at the level being discussed in lithium downside or reasons to "short" the industry for many years to come. And then there is more yrs moving to higher voltages and bigger applications mass produced to be worked on. None of it happening over short periods of time. I'm not saying that Graphene Manufacturing can't be a success story and profitable for share holders (it may not too), it just won't have success in overpowering investment in lithium any time soon.
Nascent technology (in which AIBs still are) takes a very long time to work through all the trials and tribulations on the road to main usage of the masses.
“The markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”
John Maynard Keynes
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