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Wednesday, November 03, 2021 11:48:53 AM
Earnings Previews: Airbnb, Peloton, Square, Uber
By: 24/7 Wall St. | November 3, 2021
Here’s a look at four companies scheduled to report results after markets close on Thursday.
Airbnb
Over the past 12 months, shares of vacation rental provider Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ: ABNB) have added nearly 19%. That includes a spike to more than a 50% increase in mid-February before a third wave of COVID-19 swept in. Since bottoming out in mid-July, the stock has added 31%.
As the travel business picks up again, Airbnb is expected to regain its earlier form. The company garners more than 50% of the so-called alternative lodging market, along with about a third of the dollars spent on such lodging.
Most analysts appear to be waiting for evidence. Of 30 brokerages covering the stock, 16 have a Hold rating on the shares, while 19 have either a Buy or Strong Buy rating. At a recent price of around $172.40, the upside potential based on a median price target of $174.50 is 1.8%. At the high price target of $220, the upside potential is nearly 28%.
Third-quarter revenue is forecast at $2.06 billion, which would be up 54% sequentially. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are expected to come in at $0.85, up from a per-share loss of $0.11 in the prior quarter. Data for the year-ago quarter is unavailable. For the full year, Airbnb is expected to post a loss per share of $0.70 compared to a loss per share of $15.39 in 2020. Revenue is forecast at $5.7 billion, up 69%.
Airbnb stock trades at 385.4 times estimated 2022 earnings and 151.5 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $121.50 to $219.94, and the company does not pay a dividend.
Peloton
Fitness product maker Peloton Interactive Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) had a gigantic year in 2020. The stock jumped more than 430% last year. So far in 2021, the stock has dropped 41%. Since the June quarter ended, Cathie Wood’s Ark Next Generation Internet ETF has shed almost half a million shares of Peloton stock, including a sale of 741,000 shares just last week. The company has lowered prices for some products, trading margins for revenue. We’re about to see how that worked out.
Analysts continue to back the stock. Of 30 brokerages covering the shares, 22 have a Buy or Strong Buy rating on the shares, and six more rate the stock at Hold. At a price of around $90.90, the upside potential based on a median price target of $130 is 43%. At the high target of $160, the upside potential is 76%.
For the company’s first quarter of fiscal 2022, analysts expect revenue to total $808.07 million, down 13.7% sequentially but up 6.7% year over year. Analysts also expect a loss per share of $1.14, more than double the $0.65 loss per share in the prior quarter and way below the per-share profit of $0.23 in the same quarter last year. For the full fiscal year, analysts currently estimate a loss per share of $2.18, compared to a loss of $0.05 per share last year, on revenue of $5.36 billion, up by a third.
Peloton is not expected to post a profit in either 2022 or 2023. Based on the current share price, the stock trades at 166.3 times estimated 2024 earnings of $0.56 per share. The stock’s 52-week range is $80.48 to $171.09, and Peloton does not pay a dividend.
Square
Over the past 12 months, Square Inc. (NYSE: SQ) stock has added 61.5% to its share price. Since January of 2020, the stock is up nearly 300%. The company’s $29 billion acquisition of Australia’s Afterpay is expected to close early in 2022, and that may only add to Square’s luster. Its per-customer acquisition cost is less than $5, a startlingly low number. And while CEO Jack Dorsey (also CEO of Twitter) is a big fan of Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency doesn’t do much to help Square’s bottom line. Three of Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest ETFS currently own about 5.4 million shares of Square stock. That’s more than a million fewer than the funds held at the end of the June quarter.
Analysts are mostly bullish on the shares with 27 of 38 brokerages putting a rating of Buy or Strong Buy on the stock. Another eight rate the stock a Hold. At a price of around $250 a share, the upside potential based on a median price target of $303 is 21.2%. At the high price of $380, the upside potential is 32.5%.
Third-quarter revenue is forecast at $4.48 billion, down 4.3% sequentially and up 48% year over year. Adjusted EPS are expected to come in at $0.37, down 44% sequentially and up 44% year over year. For the full year, current estimates call for EPS of $1.85, up 120%, on sales of $19.04 billion, up 100%.
Square stock trades at 138.1 times expected 2021 earnings, 109.2 times estimated 2022 earnings and 79.5 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $162.15 to $289.23. Square does not pay a dividend.
Uber
Over the past year, shares of Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) have added almost a third to their price. Rival ride-hailing firm Lyft reported triple the number of airport rides compared to last year, and increases in other local rides, likely due to an increase of 60% year over year in the number of drivers. That has pumped up hopes for Uber and is pushing the stock up by around 7% in advance of Thursday afternoon’s announcement.
Analysts are solidly bullish on Uber. Of 45 brokerages covering the stock, well over half (29) give the stock a Buy rating and another 10 have a Strong Buy rating on the shares. Five rate the stock a Hold. At a price of around $46, the potential upside based on a median price target of $68 is about 48%. At the high target of $82, the upside potential is 78.3%.
The consensus revenue estimate for the third quarter is $4.41 billion, up 12.2% sequentially and up 41% year over year. Uber is expected to post a loss per share of $0.16 in the quarter, compared with a prior quarter loss of $0.17 and last year’s $0.43 per share loss. For the full year, analysts expect a loss per share of $0.07 compared with last year’s $2.86 per share loss, on revenue of $16.08 billion, up 44%.
The stock trades at 296.3 times estimated 2022 earnings and 35.4 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $38.08 to $64.05. Uber does not pay a dividend.
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DiscoverGold
By: 24/7 Wall St. | November 3, 2021
Here’s a look at four companies scheduled to report results after markets close on Thursday.
Airbnb
Over the past 12 months, shares of vacation rental provider Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ: ABNB) have added nearly 19%. That includes a spike to more than a 50% increase in mid-February before a third wave of COVID-19 swept in. Since bottoming out in mid-July, the stock has added 31%.
As the travel business picks up again, Airbnb is expected to regain its earlier form. The company garners more than 50% of the so-called alternative lodging market, along with about a third of the dollars spent on such lodging.
Most analysts appear to be waiting for evidence. Of 30 brokerages covering the stock, 16 have a Hold rating on the shares, while 19 have either a Buy or Strong Buy rating. At a recent price of around $172.40, the upside potential based on a median price target of $174.50 is 1.8%. At the high price target of $220, the upside potential is nearly 28%.
Third-quarter revenue is forecast at $2.06 billion, which would be up 54% sequentially. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) are expected to come in at $0.85, up from a per-share loss of $0.11 in the prior quarter. Data for the year-ago quarter is unavailable. For the full year, Airbnb is expected to post a loss per share of $0.70 compared to a loss per share of $15.39 in 2020. Revenue is forecast at $5.7 billion, up 69%.
Airbnb stock trades at 385.4 times estimated 2022 earnings and 151.5 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $121.50 to $219.94, and the company does not pay a dividend.
Peloton
Fitness product maker Peloton Interactive Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) had a gigantic year in 2020. The stock jumped more than 430% last year. So far in 2021, the stock has dropped 41%. Since the June quarter ended, Cathie Wood’s Ark Next Generation Internet ETF has shed almost half a million shares of Peloton stock, including a sale of 741,000 shares just last week. The company has lowered prices for some products, trading margins for revenue. We’re about to see how that worked out.
Analysts continue to back the stock. Of 30 brokerages covering the shares, 22 have a Buy or Strong Buy rating on the shares, and six more rate the stock at Hold. At a price of around $90.90, the upside potential based on a median price target of $130 is 43%. At the high target of $160, the upside potential is 76%.
For the company’s first quarter of fiscal 2022, analysts expect revenue to total $808.07 million, down 13.7% sequentially but up 6.7% year over year. Analysts also expect a loss per share of $1.14, more than double the $0.65 loss per share in the prior quarter and way below the per-share profit of $0.23 in the same quarter last year. For the full fiscal year, analysts currently estimate a loss per share of $2.18, compared to a loss of $0.05 per share last year, on revenue of $5.36 billion, up by a third.
Peloton is not expected to post a profit in either 2022 or 2023. Based on the current share price, the stock trades at 166.3 times estimated 2024 earnings of $0.56 per share. The stock’s 52-week range is $80.48 to $171.09, and Peloton does not pay a dividend.
Square
Over the past 12 months, Square Inc. (NYSE: SQ) stock has added 61.5% to its share price. Since January of 2020, the stock is up nearly 300%. The company’s $29 billion acquisition of Australia’s Afterpay is expected to close early in 2022, and that may only add to Square’s luster. Its per-customer acquisition cost is less than $5, a startlingly low number. And while CEO Jack Dorsey (also CEO of Twitter) is a big fan of Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency doesn’t do much to help Square’s bottom line. Three of Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest ETFS currently own about 5.4 million shares of Square stock. That’s more than a million fewer than the funds held at the end of the June quarter.
Analysts are mostly bullish on the shares with 27 of 38 brokerages putting a rating of Buy or Strong Buy on the stock. Another eight rate the stock a Hold. At a price of around $250 a share, the upside potential based on a median price target of $303 is 21.2%. At the high price of $380, the upside potential is 32.5%.
Third-quarter revenue is forecast at $4.48 billion, down 4.3% sequentially and up 48% year over year. Adjusted EPS are expected to come in at $0.37, down 44% sequentially and up 44% year over year. For the full year, current estimates call for EPS of $1.85, up 120%, on sales of $19.04 billion, up 100%.
Square stock trades at 138.1 times expected 2021 earnings, 109.2 times estimated 2022 earnings and 79.5 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $162.15 to $289.23. Square does not pay a dividend.
Uber
Over the past year, shares of Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE: UBER) have added almost a third to their price. Rival ride-hailing firm Lyft reported triple the number of airport rides compared to last year, and increases in other local rides, likely due to an increase of 60% year over year in the number of drivers. That has pumped up hopes for Uber and is pushing the stock up by around 7% in advance of Thursday afternoon’s announcement.
Analysts are solidly bullish on Uber. Of 45 brokerages covering the stock, well over half (29) give the stock a Buy rating and another 10 have a Strong Buy rating on the shares. Five rate the stock a Hold. At a price of around $46, the potential upside based on a median price target of $68 is about 48%. At the high target of $82, the upside potential is 78.3%.
The consensus revenue estimate for the third quarter is $4.41 billion, up 12.2% sequentially and up 41% year over year. Uber is expected to post a loss per share of $0.16 in the quarter, compared with a prior quarter loss of $0.17 and last year’s $0.43 per share loss. For the full year, analysts expect a loss per share of $0.07 compared with last year’s $2.86 per share loss, on revenue of $16.08 billion, up 44%.
The stock trades at 296.3 times estimated 2022 earnings and 35.4 times estimated 2023 earnings. The stock’s 52-week range is $38.08 to $64.05. Uber does not pay a dividend.
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