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Re: KevinLM post# 695702

Tuesday, 09/21/2021 7:20:29 PM

Tuesday, September 21, 2021 7:20:29 PM

Post# of 800710

They would have to cancel the SPS at the very least. If they convert it to commons I dont think any significant new money would be coming in.



I disagree. New money won't care whether the seniors are cancelled or converted to common prior to the re-IPO because neither of those, vis a vis the other, would affect to how much capital has to be raised or how many shares the new investors get.

We are looking at a USD 100B or more raise. That is really an absurd amount of new money for practically a government owned company.



Petrobras raised $70B, so I don't see $100B as all that absurd. The large necessary capital raise size is due to the 2.5% minimum capital requirement in HERA, at least if it happens in the next couple of years.

Thats why I think the government relist it by cancelling the Seniors and relist while the warrants are valid with a backstop from the government until they build enough core capital.



Enough core capital for what? Release from conservatorship? That's decades away with only retaining earnings, even with the recently-lowered capital standards.

There isn't any reason to relist the shares prior to the re-IPO anyway. And that re-IPO will be necessary for release from conservatorship prior to the decades-long timeframe.

Got legal theories no plaintiff has tried? File your own lawsuit or shut up.