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Re: bbotcs post# 90058

Monday, 08/16/2021 2:16:22 AM

Monday, August 16, 2021 2:16:22 AM

Post# of 113285
5 day sale's cone for Grace was huge

yesterday at the end...


core ensembles carried it pretty

well over Cuba and some just south...


just south of Cuba on a Grace

path could add exponentially to

strength at end before landfall...


seems odd that a storm that moved

north so fast then has a storm

right behind it get steered all the

way across the Gulf on Mexico...

a mystery of nature...


https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/grace-to-drench-caribbean-with-heavy-tropical-rain/1000486


I'd buy into more northerly steering

than late in cone suggests...unless

the core does track over Cuba...

which would lower intensity and the

storm inertia to rotate northerly...


Will know by about Tuesday on that

short term guidance...


Gulf oil producers probably already

have early plans going into motion

on moves in week ahead...


They have to have better guidance

earlier than others get it...


so we watch...LJ


Gee Beav, rithmatic isn't usually this hard to read!

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