SPDR S&P 500 (SPY): Thanks freda. It's not really what I...

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Re: Ferda post# 343964

Thursday, 07/22/2021 11:05:58 AM

Thursday, July 22, 2021 11:05:58 AM

Thanks freda. It's not really what I'm looking for but everything helps.

I'm astonished at the meager odds they show ... "Probability of profit: 34.8%"
And that is for the great amount of...

"Probability of returning (is) at least $0.01 (ONE CENT "profit"!!!) at the time of expiry. This figure is derived from 30 day Implied Volatility."

Not even 50% chance :/

...so according to them at optionsprofitcalculator I stand a chance of 30% to make a penny , ha

(what was checked: the near ATM (435c vs 440 SPY target for a 2 week span)

I can't comprehend yet the table (green-red) at the bottom of the page

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