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Sunday, June 06, 2021 12:12:13 PM
I can only complain so much
Well that is not a 50% chance of success because we all know is that for success, the Multikine treated arm must have at least 10% fewer events than SOC (-10%) and Mr. Sun's range of -10% to +10% therefore gives us hardly any room for success.
My way, which I suspect was a lot more time and effort, this "window" is very real. The question is, where is the window.
To the best of my ability it is 9.0% to 11.25% over all survival "improvement" in test arm. With a probability of 40+ events of difference at the end. ( maybe 100+ )
The reason I am positive about this is that the wonder drug "placebo" does not tend to perform at all for cancer. If it did, it could be as high as 7%.
I'm pretty sure we're at least 9%
And I believe the standards have relaxed since the start of the trial.
That means, we are also in a significant battle with the auxiliary arm for which we have absolutely no data. This arm clearly is designed to test "is it multikine or cisplatin" that is really doing all the work here. - conceivably a direct injection of that juice can render cancer cells more susceptible to radiation.
I believe we make it because there has to be a huge positive signal, it is unavoidable. Even if it is merely 9%, that is still yuge. Then add secondary measures... (quality of life)
Recent CVM News
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- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 05/15/2024 08:17:31 PM
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- CEL-SCI Receives FDA Go-Ahead for Its Confirmatory Study of Multikine in the Treatment of Head & Neck Cancer • Business Wire • 05/08/2024 01:00:00 PM
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- Form ARS - Annual Report to Security Holders • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 03/07/2024 04:33:13 PM
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- Form 10-Q - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 02/14/2024 09:31:12 PM
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- Form 4 - Statement of changes in beneficial ownership of securities • Edgar (US Regulatory) • 01/02/2024 02:06:17 PM
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