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Re: calstang66 post# 164178

Friday, 05/07/2021 11:30:40 AM

Friday, May 07, 2021 11:30:40 AM

Post# of 232977
Probably nothing as sad as that is.

I think that NP is banking on Starting the Brazil Trial asap. Enrolling the 40% in a months time and having such strong results at interim that they stop the trial, but that's just my opinion.

He made a comment at the last CC about the Severe Trial moving faster than the critical that did not make sense, since they were estimating an interim in the August time frame for the smaller critical trial. They estimated an interim in the October/November time frame for severe. I replayed it multiple times because It did not make sense to me.

For Severe:
45 Hospitals - 10 people per hospital. That's 450 people. Can they enroll 10 people in a month per hospital ? I would say yes. Why would they take 3 months to enroll 400 people ?

1 Month to enroll 40%, 1 month to treat, at 2 months max for Last injection. Pause trial and 1 month for interim. If they can get the same 82% numbers at interim, that will stop the trial due to knowingly hurting the placebo population.

EUA at 4 months vs 7 months how many people saved in Brazil ?

jmho
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