Im not a financial advisor. Do your own DD to make decisions please:
This data is a couple weeks old.
Here is an example:
Example:
$HARAMBE
Outstanding Shares: 8M
Insiders' Shares : 8M * (22% / 100) = 8 * 0.22 = 1.76M
Institutions' Shares: : 8M * (38% / 100) = 8 * 0.38 = 3.04M
Float : 8M-(1.76M+3.04M) = 8M - 4.8M = 4M or 8M * (60%/100) = 8M *.4 = 3.2M
AMC's Actual Float & Synthetic Shares (2 Significant Figures):
$AMC2008.01
Outstanding Shares : 450.16M
Insiders' Shares : 450.16M * (2.3% /100) = 450.16M * 0.023 = 10.35M
Institutions' Shares: : 8M * (37.24% /100 ) = 450.16M * 0.3724 = 167.64M
Actual Float:
Method 1: 450.16M - (167.64+10.35) = 450.16M - 177.99 = 272.17M
Method 2: 450.16M * (60.46%/100) = 450.16M * 0.60466 = 272.17M
Synthetic Shares & Short Interest based on the Market
Synthetic Shares: 447.53M - 272.17M = 175.36M
Short Interest :(175.36/272.17 ) * 100 = 64.4%
Statement: There are currently 175.36M synthetic shares in the public trading market with an actual float of 272.17M. This means the short interest is 64.4%.
Data Source: Morningstar is used since it updates faster to the present compared to Webull or Yahoo! Both websites are currently reporting close to 403M for float but it isn't up-to-date. Not to mention that Morningstar collects data from across global markets on a number of asset classes including Equities, ETF’s, Open-End Funds, Closed-End Funds, Collective Investment Trusts, Separate Accounts, Realtime Market data, Variable Annuities, and other types which makes it more reliable and well-rounded. MarketWatch also reports a float of 446.85M and updates to-par with Morningstar. I double-checked all stock-quote reporting websites and confirmed that 37.24% & 2.30% are held by institutions and insiders respectively.
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Adding Failure-To-Delivers (FTDs), my past-due bananas
With the HFs exploiting illegal 3d printing methods to print more synthetic bananas, the apes have yet to receive them upon request. Given that both the 644,732 FTDs from February and 27,693,649 FTDs from January weren't completely covered. It would amount to 203.69M Shares, which equals 74.8% of short interest.
Synthetic Shares & Short Interests with FTDs
Synthetic Shares: 175.36M + 27.69M + 0.64M = 203.69M
Short Interest : (203.69M / 272.17M) * 100 = 74.8%
NOTE: The reason the maximum amount of FTDs is used from January and February since it is most likely that less than 10% of it is covered as of now. Otherwise, the daily trading volume would see a substantial spike indefinitely higher than the 28.7% increase from $11.16 to 14.37$ that happened from March 12th to March 15th. Another reason for the low trading volume could possibly be that the FTDs have already been covered in dark pool trading. This is definitely plausible but let's hope not.
Data Source: SEC
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Expired ITM Options
Assuming that the prior synthetic shares have yet to been covered, these options dating back to the 26th of February earliest have synthetic shares. Anything before February 26th, 2021 are categorized as Failure-To-Delivers if it isn't settled within T+2 days, which was included above. The synthetic shares accumulate to 256.36M and a 94.2% short interest.
Date(DD/MM/YR) Calls Shares (in mil) Puts Shares (in mil)
03/19/21 188,191 18.8 43,287 4.32
03/12/21 79,132 7.91 3,674 0.36
03/05/21 116012 11.6 11,265 1.12
02/26/21 143,381 14.33 23,664 2.36
Total 526,716 52.67 81,890 8.18
Synthetic Shares & Short Interest with FTD & Expired ITM Options
Synthetic Shares: 203.69M + 52.67M = 256.36M
Short Interest :(256.36M / 272.17M) * 100 = 94.2% ( rounded to nearest tenths)
Data Source: thinkorswim
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Conclusion
If the given data is true and there are indeed 175.36M synthetic shares, that means that there are no real shares left to be borrowed from the brokerage inventory or margin accounts. This is probably why the hedge funds are shorting AMC through ETFs now. And that's why purchasing more shares and buying call options, and especially HODLing is important. The Hedge Funds are relying on the ETFs to keep them afloat long enough to cover these synthetics shares they forged. (And possibly Dark Pool Trading) As of March 23rd, 4,456,050 shorts are available in total of all ETFs holding AMC. PSC and SCHA have 0 shorts available left and the borrowing fee is 41$ for SYFY. Once the ETFs' availability is zero, apes will become six zeroes closer to gorillionaires. Coincidentally, Ortex has forecasted that a Type 3 Short Squeeze is within one-day reach. (Probably just data about Short Squeeze, such as SI and shorted shares) GME 10K Form was giving out a subtle hint to the squeeze too. To The Moon?
