Innovation Pharmaceuticals Inc (IPIX)

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When Could the United States Reach Herd Immunity? It’s Complicated.

Scenario 1: If we continue at our current pace (about 1.7 million shots per day), we could reach the herd immunity threshold by July. In that time, 100,000 people could die from the virus.

Scenario 2: If the pace immediately increases to 3 million shots per day, we could reach the herd immunity threshold by May. In that time, 90,000 people could die from the virus.

Scenario 3: It’s a stretch, but if the pace increases to 5 million shots per day, we could reach the herd immunity threshold by April. In that time, 80,000 people could die from the virus.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/02/20/us/us-herd-immunity-covid.html

IMO fall is more realistic to reach herd immunity. Among those who decide not to get the vaccine, some already have immunity after recovering from the virus.