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Tuesday, January 19, 2021 8:35:44 AM
Here a very large sample size was taken (10k) for hospitalized patients (same as CD12 trial)
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04381936
The results were 18% mortality rate
https://www.recoverytrial.net/news/statement-from-the-recovery-trial-chief-investigators-15-january-2021-recovery-trial-closes-recruitment-to-convalescent-plasma-treatment-for-patients-hospitalised-with-covid-19
In order for Leronlimab to achieve a p-value <0.05, on 90 deaths, they need placebo mortality rate to be over 31%. Even emerginggrowth website agrees with analysis
https://emerginggrowth.com/cytodyn-update-reveals-q1-sales-pipeline-philippine-eua-nasdaq-uplisting-high-likelihood-of-approval/
It seems improbably for that to be the case given Leronlimab excludes the sickest from its trial (look in exclusions)
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04347239?cond=leronlimab&draw=2&rank=6
Anything is possible but this seems highly improbable.
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