Sunday, December 20, 2020 10:39:12 PM
Conclusion Of Marketplace Article
The Final Verdict is that Humanigen is a good long-term biotech to own. I think the 90% powering of the phase 3 Covid-19 study is a good thing and has been somewhat de-risked based on the interim analysis done. I think the mechanism of action has been proven in terms of reducing CRS, Cytokine storm, inflammatory response of the immune system and neurological toxicities. Upcoming results from several studies should confirm these findings. The upcoming readout at the ASH 2020 medical conference will also be important for Humanigen. That's because the implications of improving safety or efficacy of CAR-T will be huge. That means Lenzilumab could be applied to many CAR-Ts targeting a host of NHL indications. With the global market opportunity for non-Hodgkin Lymphoma (NHL) reaching $10.8 billion by 2025, the potential is endless. As far as the Covid-19 program goes, I think there is great potential to help patients. One of the main ways is by reducing hospital stay and reducing inflammation of these patients with respect to their lungs. I have talked about the need for a therapy that covers acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), which happens in severely ill covid-19 patients. They have to be put on a ventilator and have a longer hospital stay. There is no guarantee, but Lenzilumab has the potential to become a first-line treatment option for these patients in the hospital setting. The best part of all is that Humanigen only has a market cap of $492 million, which IMO is very low. Why is that? Well, the potential with improving CAR-T alone could revalue the entire pipeline for the biotech. More importantly, it is believed by the company that it could earn $1 billion or more in revenues for an approved Covid-19 treatment. This assumes that they can price Lenzilumab at about $10,000 per treatment course. I believe that if all works out in the pipeline, this stock should be trading much higher in the coming months with the potential it has
https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/1058124-terry-chrisomalis/5534319-biotech-analysis-central-preview-series-humanigen-inc
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