Was looking at the sentiment numbers. What jumps out is both the lack of enthusiasm among the AAII investor numbers, although they are finally more bullish than bearish. It shows too much pessimism among a sophisticated group of investors, and that is bullish.'
the other number that stands out is the extremely high high numbers of options players betting on the vix to decline soon. they are usually wrong, but the vix is very elevated, which is normal after a bear market.
I would say the sentiment numbers indicate any surprise and the market falls hard and fast. A win for trump could upset the apple cart, IMHO. Same for a landslide victory for biden and the dems.
