IMHO, what the market wants is a biden win by a large majority. If that becomes apparent, we start to rally big time.
Same for a blowout win by Trump.
If it is very close, there will be chaos, which nobody in their right mind would want, and that will be very bad for the markets.
Remember, the spx was down 5% in the furures market when it was apparent trump had won 4 years ago, and then it rallied and closed up the next day. This time, if it is very close, thanks to efforts by Trump the votes will not be counted for weeks,and that will be very bad for the market.
Bottom line: Polls in 3 weeks or even closer to the election will move markets the most, again IMHO
