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Re: KMBJN post# 321128

Thursday, 08/27/2020 2:08:02 PM

Thursday, August 27, 2020 2:08:02 PM

Post# of 403586
Unfortunately the "waves" are hitting the country at different times. As soon as it dies down it one area,, a different one will turn "red" again.

The reason may be when the virus is increasing it scares the crap out of people and the compliance with mitigation increases. Then when an area cools off the the compliance decreases and the cases increase.

I am skeptical that this will disappear like MERS or SARS. It is too contagious. The 1917-1918 influenza pandemic maybe a good model, but that means 2 years duration if no treatment or vaccine is approved.

One truth from the very beginning has been no one has been able to predict anything accurately about Covid 19 including the course of the pandemic. The worse possiblity is the virus may be active until we have a "herd immunity" where 60%-70% of the population has been infected which will mean millions of more deaths and complications.

GLTA Farrell
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