Wednesday, July 29, 2020 6:04:06 PM
#4 is where we will each have to make a major decision, absent other events before the end of the week. I had a similar thought to you; notional rough math:
- trading days in July = 21
- ~12 days with ~10m/day avg shares repurchased = 120m shares
= ~9 days with ~20m/day avg shares repurchased = 180m shares
== 300m shares repurchased
I haven't reconciled this against trading data or volume-weighted avg. price by day, but you get the idea. Two additional wild cards:
1) How many new shares hit the O/S? More or less than any that were repurchased?
2) How will the market react? I can see a world where ANY increase over 509m leads to people dumping. That would be silly to me but still something to plan for/trade off of.
Unless the price were to spike way back up later this week, I plan to hold through the next O/S update and hope for a combination of good news/intelligent reaction.
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