FOREX TRADERS

[ultimatepick]

http://www.bfi-consulting.com/pdf/newsletter_2_2006.pdf
and
http://www.bfi-consulting.com/pdf/newsletter_3_2006.pdf

WOW!
It has many excellent articles:

Here is a taste :


The Threat of (More) War in the Middle East
The real question is: Does Iran threaten the Middle East
and other nations? We posed this question to the
American investment and political consultant Ron
Holland, an expert on Switzerland and president of The
Swiss Confederation Institute
....
He responded as follows:
“Iran does indeed threaten the stability of nearby pro-
American Arab states, headed by Sunni elite’s with
sizable Shiite minorities. However, Iran does not
threaten America’s stability by direct military invasion,
but rather through religious and cultural ties. Moreover,
there is little question that Iran will continue to do its best
to embarrass and harass the projection of American
power and our version of so called ‘democracy in the
region’.”
But does Iran pose a military threat to the United States
and other nations?
“The last time I can determine that Iran invaded another
nation was in 1825, suggesting that during the last
couple of hundred years they have not been an
aggressive power in the region.
On the other hand, after a quick read of Wikipedia, it
looks like at a minimum, the United States has been
involved in over 50 conflicts since that time, including
internal military invasions of Utah, the Indian Wars
(counted as one) and Lincoln’s invasion of the Southern
states.
Still, I doubt Bush will attack Iranian military and atomic
energy installations, at least until after the November
elections, for four reasons:
First, the US military is mired down in neighboring Iraq
and Afghanistan and the likelihood of a general war
would require more combat troops than the US can
spare at the present time.
Second, European and World opinion is already
sufficiently against the US, and if the latest atrocities are
proven true, this will only aggravate the situation.
Third, an attack on Iran would send oil prices through
the roof, plunging America and Europe into recession,
resulting in a doomsday scenario for the GOP during an
election year.
Finally, there is no assurance that an air assault on
Iranian targets would destroy their future nuclear
capabilities, and thus an effective assault would require
an out-right invasion and occupation of the specific
areas.

Although a quick, conventional military victory is assured, even a temporary occupation of Iran would
make Iraq look like a cakewalk. The potential would then
exist for a long-term defeat of the US in Iran, Iraq and
Afghanistan, which would destroy the future ability of
Washington to project military power and influence in the
region. This could threaten the stability of American
client states in Saudi Arabia, Egypt and the Gulf States--
not to mention Israeli security.
Ultimately, if we invade, Iran has little to lose and a lot to
win, which is why Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad is doing his best to goad us into attacking
his country.
He wants an invasion because it could potentially make
him the most popular political leader in the entire Middle
East, as well as the largest problem for the United
States, provided Iran survives and he can claim victory.”