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Tuesday, June 09, 2020 5:48:25 PM
https://www.newyorker.com/science/medical-dispatch/the-coronavirus-vaccine-is-on-track-to-be-the-fastest-ever-developed
"In early April, as COVID-19 cases and deaths in New York City were rising to horrifying numbers, Tal Zaks, the chief medical officer of Moderna, a Cambridge-based biotech company, was concerned about time. In just three months, his company had created an experimental vaccine to inoculate against COVID-19, and begun to inject the vaccine into humans, under the guidance of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, in a Phase I clinical trial involving forty-five healthy men and women. This kind of speed in vaccine development was unprecedented, and largely derived from the revolutionary—and yet, on a large scale, untested—biomedical technology behind the Moderna vaccine. Still, if there was any chance of getting the vaccine federally licensed, and then manufactured into hundreds of millions of doses, in twelve to eighteen months—as Anthony Fauci, the director of the N.I.A.I.D., has said is the fastest possible timeline—Zaks knew that the company would have to be able to prove the vaccine’s potential, or an “expectation of benefit,” as he put it, by this summer."
Best case scenario is the vaccine provides herd immmunity-lite by the Spring of 2021. That is assuming we have the fastest vaccination schedule ever.
Even when the vaccine comes out many Americans don't want to get Vaccinated.
https://www.mdlinx.com/article/what-happens-if-some-americans-refuse-the-covid-19-vaccine/5Yqy3Q84Wt27BQktRnhGnD
"This is not a theoretical scenario. According to the authors of one preliminary study, about one-quarter of adult Americans (23%) said they’ll refuse to get a COVID-19 vaccination when one becomes available.
For this study, which is currently undergoing peer review, investigators recently surveyed a demographically representative sample population of 493 US adults. They asked the participants about their views of vaccine safety and whether they plan to receive a vaccine against COVID-19.
Nearly one-fifth (19%) of respondents characterized themselves as being skeptical of vaccines. Of these, 62% said that they would not get the COVID-19 vaccine.
About one-sixth (16%) of all respondents specifically self-identified as anti-vaxxers. Among these, 44% said they won’t get vaccinated against COVID-19."
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