Saturday, May 23, 2020 4:37:12 PM
Q1- maybe so? 500K would be more than double revenues of previous quarters. So let's say you are right- 500K is a great increase. I still expect higher though, and here is why- Several new machine installations in Q1. Things were starting to ramp up in March and they began the transition to all fluid production. But we don't really know how much they were producing.
April and May though? You suggest 500K sales per month? Even if that were true, that would be record increase, considering revenues have been around 200K total in a quarter. So 1.5 million in the quarter? That would be explosive growth. But as I said before- that doesn't seem to be an honest evaluation of the facts we know.
- Fluid production capacity 10,000 gallons daily as of April 7 PR.
- Market demand is such that all disinfectant supplies are selling out. We don't know for sure that PCTL is selling 10,000 a day, but we can expect that they are selling what they can produce to some degree.
- Price- we don't know the price, but with some research we can guess a wholesale price of around $8 per gallon. Retail is selling much higher, that we know, from actual purchases made by individuals.
So with that in mind- you are saying less than 500K sales in a month?
That would equate to less than 65000 gallons at $8 per gallon, or one weeks worth of production sold over the whole month? Or maybe you want to get more conservative and lower the price per gallon to $5- that would then be 10 days worth of production. Why would they be selling at less than half of capacity? In a time when demand is so high?
And all of this disregards the new equipment sales and leases.
I would like to see what you base your numbers on. How much fluid sales do you expect monthly?
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