Biotech Values

[jq1234]

No, your conclusion will not stand the test of time. Death is a lagging indicator everywhere. CDC data by week of Apr 25, covid19 death missed by 50% alone. This tells you other deaths are missed as well because CDC system doesn’t prioritize covid19 death reporting in any way. Another way to look at this,
CDC site starting week of March 28, weekly death surpassed 100% of average of same week from 2016-2019 already even though death reporting lagged significantly.

People are just too impatient to let data be complete to draw conclusion. And they lack understanding of basic data reporting. I am not an expert in CDC data reporting in any way but I am disciplined enough to always read fine print and footnotes before using any data for my own analysis. Most people don’t.

This is from CDC footnote about death reporting and how much lag data contains typically - 8-week for at least 75% complete: “Previous analyses of 2015–2016 provisional data completeness have found that completeness is lower in the first few weeks following the date of death (<25%), and then increases over time such that data are generally at least 75% complete within 8 weeks of when the death occurred”.


https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/