Gold Resource Corp (GORO)

[GORO2020]

I have WARNED that the S&P Will TEST 2,000 in April and FAIL and here is another Voice that Agrees!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The US economy is Collapsing at a rate and Depth far worse than what 2008 experienced.........Meaning: US Equities are only Half WAY to the Bottom!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

My Worst CASE could end up being a Best CASE no matter how much Fiat Currency the Fools in DC Print UP!!!!!!!!!!

The Federal Government needs a Total Restructuring just as any major Corporation would do in a time of Crisis to avoid Bankruptcy......And Folks America HAS the Mother of ALL ""Solvency"" Issues!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


"S&P500 Could Decline To 1,600"

"S&P500 Could Decline To 1,600" - Stocks Facing Worst Outlook Since 2008
by Peter Garnry, Head of Equity Strategy at Saxo Bank

Summary: With all the major central banks expected to be effectively zero bound in 2020, the scope for returns in bonds will be low for years to come.

Equities have hit multiple speedbumps since 2008. But every time, they came back to new all-time highs fuelled by endless policy action, mostly from central banks. Through quantitative easing and lower rates, central banks have engineered a now-evidently unsustainable investment boom in energy that cannot repay it itself, large-scale buyback programmes among US companies and ever-higher valuations for growth companies.

The US-China trade war already started disrupting supply and slowing growth over the last year. In Q1 2020 the world economy was hit by the COVID-19 virus outbreak, creating both a supply (Chinese lockdown) and demand (lockdowns in many countries) shock, in addition to an oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia which threatens to significantly impact the US oil industry and global investments in general.

Not since 2008 has the world been this uncertain and out of balance. As equity prices reflect the future and growth prospects, they are the most sensitive to current crisis. Investors are desperate to get out and cash in on years of fat profits.
S&P 500 could decline to 1,600 in worst-case scenario

The last couple of months have given investors a glimpse of what’s lurking around the corner. Countries have entered lockdown, hospitals have been overstretched and demand for certain products and services has been in freefall. The three most important questions for equity investors, then, are:

1. How much will corporate earnings decline?

2. What will the earnings multiple be during the contraction?

3. What will the shape of the recovery look like?

As global pandemics of this type are very rare, all GDP forecasting models can be tossed out the window. We have instead tried to create two types of GDP paths. One is a mild shock to 0% GDP growth and then a quick reversion to trend growth. The other is a 4% drop in growth in a few quarters and a slower recovery that doesn’t quite hit trend growth. Many market participants believe in the base case scenario. But with dramatic lockdowns in Europe and the potential for COVID-19 to become seasonal the impact could become deeper and longer.



Based on data since 1954, we can fit a quantile regression on quarterly changes and log EPS on a GDP growth series. Our two GDP paths produce the following EPS paths:

cont.............


A Visual Odyssey Through All The Market's Dislocations In 56 Charts

Broken Markets: A Visual Odyssey Through All The Market's Dislocations In 56 Charts
by Tyler Durden ZeroHedge

Instead of narrating - often in mind-numbing detail - how broken markets are, for once we will let the charts do the talking. In the visual odyssey through today's broken market, we summarize various measures of market dislocation and stress across asset classes.

Some highlights:

* In DM credit markets, the CDX-cash basis in both IG and HY has compressed notably but remain at historical wides. Agency MBS OAS has reversed much of the widening, while CLO and ABS OAS continue to tighten.

* In the rates market, some pressure in front-end funding markets has begun to abate with some of the announced Fed facilities underway, visible in the recent stabilization of cross-currency bases. However, unsecured front-end spreads (such as CP and Libor) on the whole remain at elevated levels.

* In emerging markets, while cross-currency bases on average have reversed most of the recent widening, swap spreads remain notably wider.

* In equity markets, market depth and liquidity remain dismal.

Going down the list, first we show the most notable dislocations and moves in Developed Credit Markets.

cont!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

""GOLD"" People.........It Will be the ONLY Asset left Standing when this House of Cards BURNS Down!!!!!!!!!


GORO is MY Top Holding and here are some other GOLD Positions that I will disclose.........

Barrick Gold Corp

Barrick Gold Corp (GOLD:NYSE)

20.06 +1.19 (+6.31%)


Newmont Corporation

Newmont Corporation (NEM:NYSE)

49.26 +2.79 (+6.00%)


VanEck Merk Gold Trust

VanEck Merk Gold Trust (OUNZ:NYSE Arca)

15.74 +0.21 (+1.35%)


U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners

U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal Miners ETF (GOAU:NYSE Arca)

13.20 +0.66 (+5.26%)