Tuesday, March 31, 2020 12:56:29 AM
There are:
5506 recovered patients. I assume some, not all, of these were in hospital during treatment.
3165 reported deaths. I assume most/not all were in hospital during treatment.
3512 currently in hospital as serious/critical patients.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Between 6K and 12K hospitalized with Covid19 related problems so far.
At the end of the 10th week of (out of 21 weeks) the 2018/2019 flu season there had been a total of 835 laboratory confirmed flu related hospital admissions.
A difference by factors between 7 and 14.4.
Given the exponential increases of Covid19 those factors probably won't apply, but assuming they do, without successful interventions against Covid19, by the end of the third week of June we'll have had 4.529 million to 9.317 million hospital admissions (using the 2018/2019 hospitalized number).
Dividing the current US death number by the above current hospitalization range 25% to 50% of those admitted to hospital will not survive.
It's an expansion of flu vs. Covid19 perspective to consider."
Who knows how to equate this thing? I use the closed case numbers, meaning recovered vs. death, which represents those who've gone full circle. It currently stands at 81% recovered, 19% dead.
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