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Re: None

Saturday, 03/28/2020 11:58:47 AM

Saturday, March 28, 2020 11:58:47 AM

Post# of 54907
To have an accurate test you need to accumulate a lot if validated samples with serologic tests that have been developed for the specific virus you are looking at. That in a nutshell takes times. A few months for a probably low sensitive and specific test and longer for a high sensitive and specific test. I believe China let WHO know what is going on in December. The had probably been working on tests way before that. PRED’s test comes from an established Chinese lab. It makes me believe the accuracy of the test will be quite good as they claim. I am hearing numbers in the high 90’s. Other companies serologic tests are touting those numbers. Unless they also collaborated with someone who has had a huge head start like Predictive has(I don’t know that much about the other companies) their real accuracy, not what they say, should be quite a bit lower. The people who are looking at the data will know that.

People also need to know it is very important that there are two types of testing. quantitative tests for viral loads and tests for immunity/exposure. Both are gonna be used.