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Re: Juancy post# 66257

Saturday, 03/14/2020 9:23:52 PM

Saturday, March 14, 2020 9:23:52 PM

Post# of 200706
The death toll numbers are taken from confirmed cases only. This gives you a baseline. You cant refute if X get sick and Y die form a large enough group of confirmed cases worldwide you have Z%

Current data shows an average of 2.7-3.2% now we just need to see how it spreads in North America to see how that holds up. Maybe the US will have a less then 1% mortality rate but globally it could be much higher.

Now if we match that to statistics of influenza and how it easily infects 35-70% of people. At very minimum we can say 30% of the world will get infected.

While I understand your 4 people go to a hospital and they all die does that give you a 100% death rate... Yes... for that hospital on that day. Your statement was to vague and non quantifiable with a small pool of patients you need to think world wide or in your case, every hospital on that day around the world.