Reality check The National Retail Federation expects holiday retail sales, for November and December, to increase between 3.8% and 4.2% this year. It says holiday retail sales have increased an average of 3.7% over the past five years. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2019/10/03/retail-trade-group-sees-holiday-sales-rising-3point8percent-to-4point2percent-this-year.html