Avita Medical Ltd (RCEL)

[Fmello]

Don't forget the addressable U.S. burn market is approximately 14,000 adults each year. The average burn needs 3 Recell kits.

If we somehow got 100% of that market:
14,000 x 3 kits @ $7,500 each = 42,000 kits ($315,000,000 per year)

If Avita scored 50% of the addressable market:
7,000 x 3 kits & $7,500 each = 21,000 kits ($157,500,000 per year)

25% of the addressable market:
3,500 x 3 kits @ $7,500 each = 10,500 kits ($78,750,000 per year)

And don't forget that when Avita gets FDA approval for pediatric use, then the addressable U.S. burn market gets 30% larger (18,200 patients per year). If my memory is correct, Avita's manufacturing facility in California can produce 4,000 kits per month.