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Re: A deleted message

Friday, 07/12/2019 10:47:16 AM

Friday, July 12, 2019 10:47:16 AM

Post# of 21540
Since people keep getting this wrong, let me repeat it once more:

There is a 98.8% chance that the patients in the last trial that were not on memantine and that were taking the optimal dose showed an improvement over placebo because of the drug. There is a 1.2% chance that this improvement was achieved because of sheer luck. That is what the p value of 0.012 means.

It has nothing to do with the current trial and its probability of success.
It has nothing to do with the past, present and future stock price.
It has nothing to do with ANYTHING except what I mentioned above.
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