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Saturday, April 27, 2019 12:11:59 AM
By: Carl Swenlin | April 26, 2019
IT Trend Model: BUY as of 2/19/2019
LT Trend Model: BUY as of 4/17/2019
USO Daily Chart: On Monday the Trump administration announced tighter sanctions against Iran, and crude oil gapped up about +2%. From there it consolidated a few days, then it crashed on Friday. Because of the lack of follow through after Monday's gap, I was not surprised to see the breakdown. My guess is that crude is not in as short supply as we are led to believe. The daily PMO has crossed down through its signal line from very overbought levels.
USO Weekly Chart: A rising wedge pattern implies that a pullback could be on the way, but the weekly PMO is rising and above the zero line. The 2018 high for USO represents about $76 for $WTIC.
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