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Re: rlee47 post# 8462

Friday, 03/29/2019 1:36:31 PM

Friday, March 29, 2019 1:36:31 PM

Post# of 11429


My impression was that the CEO was more cautious on the call than he has been in the past, though not to be confused with dropping his promotional nature entirely. I see this as a promising sign.
Confidence is good; coming through is better.

The guidance called for revenue of $60M in Q1, which means an average of $86.67M in each of the next 3 quarters, likely meaning >$100M in Q4.

I don't know about profitability in Q1 which will be reported relatively soon, but I'd at least expect guiding Q2 profitability at that time. If they fall short in Q1., I'd expect a relatively narrow miss.

He mentioned that the core NBEV brands need to scale to $50M to contribute positively to earnings. They are almost surely not going to reach that run rate in Q1. He did also mention an imminent announcement; guessing that may name a tier one national customer, which still likely would not derive new revenue until Q2.