It is my opinion that there are still significant gains to be made in "unhedged" base metal companies that have large reserves in "safe" countries around the world. I feel that there are several ways that my stocks will benefit:
-Rising metal price due to higher demand
-Being acquired by other companies or private equity
-Buying back their own stock
-The current belief that the commodity boom is ending being dead wrong
-The weakening of the U.S Dollar coupled with inflation
If I am wrong and none of the above are in the cards for 2007 and beyond I stand to give back some of the money I have made in the past year+. On the otherhand, if I am right, valuations at these low P/E's could rocket.
I do think that the circumstances surrounding the current boom are way different than previous ones for all the reasons stated at the end of that report.
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