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Re: abuhafsa post# 92856

Sunday, 02/17/2019 12:51:50 PM

Sunday, February 17, 2019 12:51:50 PM

Post# of 108192
Only way you can explain a company trading below cash value is because it’s baked in. This is why anything short of a cash upfront heavy deal will not move the stock price. How does one attract new buyers to help offset these algos with a R/S and dilution on the table. This is why I also just don’t believe KB has anything close. If he did he would know that it would shoot the stock price up well over 2$ with an announced deal. Can he really be this stupid? May be considering the words he chose to use in the pulling of AXAL. Then I considered the possibility of them landing a deal as the bulls hypothesize here. So considered numbers....that also made me concerned.

So let’s KB knows a deal coming for let’s say 65m upfront....don’t expect them to get more than AMGEN ponied up in their partnership. That’s not really a lot of money. However, still would shoot the stock up to 3$ again. Now let’s say you R/S at .40 25:1...this gives you 10$ a share. Now you release news of a deal after RS let’s say spikes to 20 off back of shorts from news. Then you dilute 75m shares at 18 a share...boom cash reserves for next two years and then some with cushion to spare. So to me even if they have a deal lined up it would make far more business sense for them to execute the R/S, use the deal to pump then dilute. It would be so easy to just buy 5k shares and hope for even 3 pt move right now is almost enticing enough.

So to me this made it come down to trust. The BOD and KB have given me no reason to trust them with a loaded gun again. I just hope they get voted down by you all.



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