Friday, February 15, 2019 12:36:13 PM
The lottery ticket is now:
1. PTAB following the CAFC's direction which will then give us over 50 claims going to court. I'm a layman, but it's just common sense with too many facts given that it won't go back to the CAFC.
2. Us (having a market cap of approx $15 million) going to court with the best law-firm in the country representing us working on contingency with over a billion dollars at stake (this is the worst case-scenario if there isn't a settlement- but it looks like they're more than going through the motions for just discussing one). Also, as a side bet, ATVI just proved how shady they are with a top dog getting fired WITH cause.
The only bad about the lottery is the time of the payout (sorry for beating a dead horse on this one). Winning a PTAB decision might not make the stock rise that much. It might take as long as beating ATVI in court, which who knows if they can find a way to appeal etc...)
Basically, imo as a gut feeling as a layman, the lottery ticket will pay out 30x (when institutional investors get involved) in early 2020 with the odds being at 95%.
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